Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002991 0.003132 0.003275 0.003433 0.003601 0.003775 0.003969
2025-04-20 0.002747 0.002958 0.003182 0.003437 0.003721 0.004028 0.004387
2025-04-27 0.002623 0.002880 0.003159 0.003487 0.003863 0.004284 0.004791
2025-05-04 0.002479 0.002762 0.003076 0.003453 0.003896 0.004403 0.005033
2025-05-11 0.002368 0.002671 0.003013 0.003432 0.003934 0.004522 0.005271
2025-05-18 0.002270 0.002589 0.002954 0.003408 0.003962 0.004624 0.005487
2025-05-25 0.002227 0.002566 0.002961 0.003460 0.004080 0.004837 0.005847
2025-06-01 0.002156 0.002507 0.002920 0.003449 0.004118 0.004948 0.006078
2025-06-08 0.002084 0.002442 0.002869 0.003422 0.004131 0.005026 0.006268
2025-06-15 0.002005 0.002366 0.002800 0.003369 0.004108 0.005053 0.006387
2025-06-22 0.001937 0.002300 0.002741 0.003325 0.004092 0.005088 0.006515
2025-06-29 0.001893 0.002263 0.002717 0.003324 0.004132 0.005196 0.006748
2025-07-06 0.001804 0.002167 0.002615 0.003220 0.004032 0.005112 0.006709
2025-07-13 0.001767 0.002137 0.002596 0.003223 0.004076 0.005227 0.006958
2025-07-20 0.001751 0.002132 0.002610 0.003269 0.004179 0.005425 0.007337
2025-07-27 0.001704 0.002085 0.002567 0.003238 0.004172 0.005469 0.007487
2025-08-03 0.001664 0.002047 0.002534 0.003219 0.004181 0.005534 0.007671
2025-08-10 0.001626 0.002009 0.002501 0.003196 0.004185 0.005591 0.007844
2025-08-17 0.001616 0.002009 0.002518 0.003244 0.004290 0.005798 0.008262
2025-08-24 0.001585 0.001980 0.002494 0.003234 0.004310 0.005881 0.008485
2025-08-31 0.001550 0.001944 0.002461 0.003210 0.004307 0.005927 0.008650
2025-09-07 0.001508 0.001898 0.002412 0.003161 0.004267 0.005914 0.008716
2025-09-14 0.001471 0.001857 0.002369 0.003120 0.004238 0.005916 0.008805